Maria da Fonte vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
OSL
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
PED
2 - 0
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OSL
2 - 2
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
CAM
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
MER
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PED
2 - 3
MER
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
CAM
43%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |