Maria da Fonte vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
13º
18
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 0
MAR
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 4
MER
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
PED
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRI
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
MON
46%
23%
32%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIA
1 - 0
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 2
MAR
20%
24%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |