Margate vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
DAR
4 - 0
MAR
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HEM
3 - 2
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
GOS
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CON
0 - 0
MAR
85%
10%
4%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHM
9%
18%
73%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
EAS
7 - 3
WEL
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 2
BAT
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CHM
5 - 1
EAS
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 0
WHI
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 4
EAS
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |