Marek vs Balkan Botevgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
SLI
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
BOT
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SEP
1 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
PIR
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Balkan Botevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
SEP
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
PIR
3 - 2
BAL
24%
21%
55%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -3 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
RIL
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CSK
4 - 2
BAL
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
6 - 2
SVO
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |