Marconi Stallions vs NZ Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
BRI
1 - 4
MAR
48%
24%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAP
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 2
ADE
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SYD
3 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
NZK
2 - 2
MEL
33%
24%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ADE
2 - 1
NZK
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
NZK
2 - 2
SYD
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
SOU
0 - 0
NZK
70%
17%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
NZK
0 - 1
PER
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |