Marck vs Aulnoye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NOI
1 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
IVR
17%
25%
59%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLY
42%
27%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
AMI
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUL
0 - 1
BOU
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AUL
1 - 1
VAL
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FEI
4 - 3
AUL
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AUL
1 - 1
OLY
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 2
AUL
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |