Marcílio Dias vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
IMB
2 - 0
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRU
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
XVO
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
CAC
1 - 2
JUV
21%
25%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |