Marcílio Dias vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
JEC
2 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAX
17%
21%
62%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
CAX
0 - 3
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MET
0 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
MET
2 - 2
BRU
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
BRU
1 - 1
CRI
40%
23%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
JEC
1 - 2
BRU
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
BRU
4 - 3
JEC
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
CRI
1 - 2
BRU
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |