Catarinense 1 Second Stage Round 5

Marcílio Dias vs Avaí analysis

Marcílio Dias Avaí
56 ELO 63
-2% Tilt -1.2%
3668º General ELO ranking 394º
108º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
37.6%
Marcílio Dias
24.7%
Draw
37.7%
Avaí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
Marcílio Dias
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.8%
Win probability
Avaí
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marcílio Dias
+19%
+2%
Avaí

ELO progression

Marcílio Dias
Avaí
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marcílio Dias
Marcílio Dias
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2005
GUA
Guarani de Palhoça
3 - 1
Marcílio Dias
MAR
35%
24%
41%
58 51 7 0
20 Mar. 2005
MAR
Marcílio Dias
1 - 0
Guarani de Palhoça
GUA
60%
21%
19%
57 52 5 +1
14 Mar. 2005
AVA
Avaí
2 - 1
Marcílio Dias
MAR
54%
24%
23%
58 63 5 -1
06 Mar. 2005
MAR
Marcílio Dias
3 - 3
Joinville
JEC
42%
24%
34%
58 60 2 0
27 Feb. 2005
CRI
Criciúma
3 - 0
Marcílio Dias
MAR
76%
15%
9%
58 73 15 0

Matches

Avaí
Avaí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2005
JEC
Joinville
2 - 1
Avaí
AVA
45%
25%
30%
63 61 2 0
19 Mar. 2005
AVA
Avaí
0 - 0
Joinville
JEC
45%
26%
30%
63 61 2 0
14 Mar. 2005
AVA
Avaí
2 - 1
Marcílio Dias
MAR
54%
24%
23%
63 58 5 0
05 Mar. 2005
GUA
Guarani de Palhoça
3 - 2
Avaí
AVA
25%
24%
51%
64 51 13 -1
26 Feb. 2005
HER
Hermann Aichinger
4 - 0
Avaí
AVA
39%
25%
37%
65 59 6 -1