Maranguape vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
ICA
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
UNI
37%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
5 - 0
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +4 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
QUI
4 - 2
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 0
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 3
FOR
12%
19%
69%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
FER
0 - 0
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
FOR
4 - 3
ITA
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FOR
3 - 1
QUI
87%
10%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 2
FOR
14%
20%
66%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |