Maracena vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 3
MAR
28%
25%
48%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARE
69%
19%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
MAR
18%
23%
60%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
ATA
69%
18%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 2
MAR
36%
24%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
LOJ
0 - 1
ICF
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LOJ
0 - 0
CAÑ
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDR
1 - 1
LOJ
46%
24%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LOJ
1 - 2
BER
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
LOJ
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |