Maracaju vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracaju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CEN
4 - 1
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
AQU
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
AQU
36%
25%
40%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
NOV
40%
24%
36%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
COM
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
COM
4 - 0
COS
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
COM
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
COM
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
MIS
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |