Tercera Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor vs SD Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
YEC
0 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
PLU
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOR
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EGP
0 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
MIN
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SDF
1 - 0
FER
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 5
SDF
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SDF
3 - 0
MNU
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SRF
0 - 0
SDF
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SDF
3 - 0
UDA
78%
17%
6%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |