Mar Menor vs Abarán CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
MEN
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MEN
0 - 4
ESP
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 0
MEN
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MEN
1 - 3
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RIN
0 - 2
MEN
28%
21%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ABA
1 - 1
DIT
31%
21%
48%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 3
ABA
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ABA
2 - 2
CAR
25%
22%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 0
ABA
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ABA
1 - 1
LOR
14%
19%
68%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |