Manzanese vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
MZN
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MZN
0 - 2
SDA
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
MZN
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MZN
4 - 2
UAR
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
MES
0 - 3
MZN
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
4 - 2
MON
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
VIR
60%
20%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 2
DEL
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SGS
3 - 0
VIR
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 2
MES
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |