Manu Laeva vs Tofaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manu Laeva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
NUI
0 - 3
MAN
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 2
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
TAM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
5 - 0
LAK
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 2
NIU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tofaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TOF
6 - 0
LAK
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
TOF
0 - 1
TAM
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
TOF
0 - 2
NAU
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
TOF
2 - 0
NAN
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TOF
4 - 1
NUI
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |