Manthiqueira vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 2
MAN
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MAN
5 - 0
MOG
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
USA
47%
23%
31%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
6 - 0
MOG
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
USA
1 - 2
SAO
19%
20%
62%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 4
SAO
19%
21%
59%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOG
0 - 2
SAO
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 5 | 34 | 0 |