League Two Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Mansfield Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAN
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MKD
1 - 0
MAN
34%
28%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 2
STE
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
OLD
3 - 2
MAN
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 0
MOR
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAN
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
NEW
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
OLD
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
LIN
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |