Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 4
HAR
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 0
NOR
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
YOR
1 - 2
MAN
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAN
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 3
CHE
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OXF
0 - 1
CHE
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
AFC
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
STA
77%
15%
7%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |