Mannersdorf vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
14º
15º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mannersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
KOT
2 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
SVR
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ZWE
2 - 0
MAN
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
LAN
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
SCR
6%
12%
82%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 1
SPR
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SCO
0 - 3
SVG
11%
23%
66%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 0
ARD
24%
24%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCU
0 - 1
SCO
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |