Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
MAN
5 - 0
CCM
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SYD
0 - 2
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
STG
31%
26%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NWS
4 - 2
MAN
37%
23%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SYD
2 - 2
SUT
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
3 - 1
SGS
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
0 - 1
STG
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 1
SUT
85%
11%
5%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUT
0 - 1
CCM
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |