Man. Utd U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. Utd U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
WOL
2 - 2
MAN
23%
21%
56%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
BLA
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
6 - 0
NEW
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
BUR
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
WOL
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MCI
7 - 1
DER
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
SUN
58%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
DER
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
LIV
13%
16%
71%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BLA
4 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |