Man. Utd Sub 18 vs Derby County Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. Utd Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 3
CHE
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 1
MAN
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -5 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
MCI
46%
21%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MID
2 - 3
MAN
23%
20%
57%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 0
BLA
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MCI
1 - 0
DER
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
WOL
3 - 5
DER
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
DER
3 - 1
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
WBA
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DER
0 - 3
STO
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |