Manchester United vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 1
MUD
9%
17%
75%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MUD
1 - 2
SWA
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
MUD
1 - 2
TOT
65%
20%
16%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
MUD
10%
17%
73%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
HUL
2 - 3
MUD
6%
15%
79%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MUD
1 - 2
SWA
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 3
MAC
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
ASV
1 - 1
SWA
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
CHL
1 - 0
SWA
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SWA
1 - 2
EVE
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |