Champions League . 1/16
Global 9-2
Manchester United vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
ARS
4 - 2
MUD
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
HJK
2 - 3
MUD
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
MUD
4 - 1
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
BUR
3 - 0
MUD
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1965 |
HJK
2 - 3
MUD
32%
23%
45%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
SBR
8 - 1
HJK
64%
19%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
HJK
1 - 4
SBR
57%
20%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |