Manchester United vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STO
2 - 2
MUD
25%
26%
50%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 0
LEI
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SWA
0 - 4
MUD
21%
24%
54%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MUD
4 - 0
WHU
54%
24%
21%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUD
79%
13%
8%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
LAU
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
6 - 1
WOH
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
LUG
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
FCW
0 - 2
BAS
4%
10%
86%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |