Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
SWA
85%
10%
4%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 2
MON
69%
18%
14%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
STO
2 - 0
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 1
HUL
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHL
3 - 1
SUN
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
WAT
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SUN
2 - 0
STO
36%
29%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
CRY
0 - 1
SUN
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |