Manchester City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
MAC
0 - 0
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
IPS
1 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
MAC
6 - 0
SWI
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
MAC
1 - 2
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
BCF
1 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 1
STO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
STO
1 - 3
LEE
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
STO
2 - 1
POR
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
STO
3 - 2
BCF
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
NTT
1 - 0
STO
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |