Manchester City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
MAC
3 - 1
CHE
92%
6%
2%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
WHU
1 - 2
MAC
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
MAC
0 - 1
SHW
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
LEE
3 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1991 |
OLD
7 - 1
GUL
89%
8%
3%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
OLD
2 - 3
CRY
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
LUT
2 - 1
OLD
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
OLD
2 - 1
SHE
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1991 |
OLD
2 - 1
COV
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |