Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BBU
2 - 2
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
MAC
5 - 1
HUL
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WBA
2 - 1
MAC
37%
26%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
RAC
3 - 1
MAC
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
EVE
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 3
NTT
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
NTT
2 - 4
DON
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 2
NTT
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NTT
0 - 0
BPO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
NTT
0 - 1
SHE
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |