Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 1
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1952 |
STO
2 - 1
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
STO
3 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOL
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 2
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1952 |
ARS
2 - 1
MUD
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1952 |
MUD
2 - 0
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
6 - 1
ARS
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1952 |
MUD
3 - 0
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
BPO
2 - 2
MUD
41%
25%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |