Manchester City vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HUL
0 - 2
MAC
8%
18%
74%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 1
MAC
71%
17%
13%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
WIG
89%
9%
3%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
87%
10%
4%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
STO
87%
10%
4%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FUL
1 - 0
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
FUL
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FUL
1 - 3
CHL
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WBA
1 - 1
FUL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
FUL
2 - 3
LIV
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |