Manchester City vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 0
MAC
26%
25%
48%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 2
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 2
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
WIG
0 - 1
MAC
12%
21%
67%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
60%
23%
18%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FUL
1 - 1
WBA
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 1
FUL
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FUL
5 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BBU
3 - 1
FUL
44%
28%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FUL
4 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |