Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 0
ARS
69%
17%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MUD
2 - 0
MAC
27%
24%
50%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
SHW
0 - 1
MAC
6%
16%
78%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
9%
15%
76%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
RMA
1 - 2
MAC
53%
21%
25%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 1
TOT
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BUR
3 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 2
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 0
ARS
21%
22%
57%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |