Série C Ronda de Ascenso. Jor. 5

Manaus vs Tombense analysis

Manaus Tombense
56 ELO 64
-5.8% Tilt -0.4%
2940º General ELO ranking 1042º
85º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
34.6%
Manaus
30.3%
Draw
35.1%
Tombense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
Manaus
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
35.1%
Win probability
Tombense
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manaus
+11%
+3%
Tombense

ELO progression

Manaus
Tombense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manaus
Manaus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2021
YPI
Ypiranga FC
1 - 1
Manaus
MAN
53%
25%
22%
56 61 5 0
20 Oct. 2021
MAN
Manaus
2 - 0
Porto Velho
POR
75%
16%
9%
56 37 19 0
17 Oct. 2021
MAN
Manaus
1 - 1
Ypiranga FC
YPI
34%
28%
39%
56 61 5 0
09 Oct. 2021
TOM
Tombense
2 - 2
Manaus
MAN
59%
24%
18%
56 65 9 0
03 Oct. 2021
MAN
Manaus
5 - 0
Novorizontino
NOV
21%
26%
53%
55 66 11 +1

Matches

Tombense
Tombense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2021
NOV
Novorizontino
0 - 1
Tombense
TOM
47%
29%
23%
63 65 2 0
18 Oct. 2021
TOM
Tombense
1 - 2
Novorizontino
NOV
41%
27%
33%
64 65 1 -1
09 Oct. 2021
TOM
Tombense
2 - 2
Manaus
MAN
59%
24%
18%
65 56 9 -1
03 Oct. 2021
YPI
Ypiranga FC
0 - 1
Tombense
TOM
47%
28%
25%
64 63 1 +1
25 Sep. 2021
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 1
Tombense
TOM
43%
29%
28%
65 61 4 -1
X