Manaus vs Real Ariquemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 2
GAL
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAN
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
FAS
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
FAS
0 - 2
MAN
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
RDA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
GAL
2 - 3
RDA
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RDA
0 - 1
PAR
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
RDA
34%
23%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RDA
3 - 2
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |