Managua vs Real Madriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
UNA
2 - 3
MAN
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
DIR
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 0
MAN
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 0
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 1
MAN
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 1
REA
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
REA
1 - 0
JAP
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
REA
0 - 1
DIR
22%
27%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
REA
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 3
REA
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |