Managua vs Diriangén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 0
MAN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
EST
4 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
REA
2 - 2
MAN
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Diriangén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
DIR
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
UNA
0 - 1
DIR
31%
29%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DIR
1 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FVI
1 - 4
DIR
21%
28%
50%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |