South African First Division Round 21

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates analysis

Mamelodi Sundowns Orlando Pirates
75 ELO 74
2.1% Tilt 9.9%
1194º General ELO ranking 1224º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.9%
Mamelodi Sundowns
24.8%
Draw
21.3%
Orlando Pirates

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.3%
Win probability
Orlando Pirates
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mamelodi Sundowns
+73%
+42%
Orlando Pirates

ELO progression

Mamelodi Sundowns
Orlando Pirates
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
AJA
Cape Town Spurs
0 - 3
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
42%
27%
31%
75 73 2 0
13 Mar. 2012
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 1
Bidvest Wits
BID
63%
22%
15%
75 70 5 0
04 Mar. 2012
PFC
Powerlines
0 - 24
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
7%
15%
78%
75 10 65 0
24 Feb. 2012
SWA
Swallows FC
2 - 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
SUN
37%
28%
35%
75 68 7 0
19 Feb. 2012
SUN
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 - 0
Jomo Cosmos
COS
79%
15%
6%
75 60 15 0

Matches

Orlando Pirates
Orlando Pirates
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
PIR
Orlando Pirates
3 - 2
Kaizer Chiefs
CHI
40%
30%
30%
74 75 1 0
14 Mar. 2012
SAN
Engen Santos
3 - 0
Orlando Pirates
PIR
28%
28%
43%
75 64 11 -1
10 Mar. 2012
ECF
Ethekwini Coastal
0 - 1
Orlando Pirates
PIR
7%
16%
78%
75 10 65 0
03 Mar. 2012
REC
Recreativo do Libolo
1 - 1
Orlando Pirates
PIR
40%
26%
35%
75 68 7 0
26 Feb. 2012
PIR
Orlando Pirates
1 - 0
Durban City
MAR
61%
25%
14%
75 63 12 0