Mamelodi Sundowns vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 1
SUN
13%
22%
65%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
MPU
0 - 1
SUN
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 0
SUN
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SUN
3 - 0
PLS
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 3
PIR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
SEA
1 - 2
FRE
11%
16%
73%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
FRE
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 3
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 0
MPU
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |