Mamelodi Sundowns vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 1
SSU
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 0
POL
71%
19%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 6
SUN
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 0
SSU
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 6
SUN
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
POL
0 - 2
FRE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
BID
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 0
BID
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |