Malvern City vs Hume City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malvern City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
KNC
0 - 5
MAL
39%
23%
38%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
HUM
4 - 1
POR
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 5
HUM
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HUM
3 - 2
HEU
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
HUM
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
DAN
1 - 3
HUM
23%
24%
52%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |