Malpartida vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 0
PLA
57%
23%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 2
MAL
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAL
0 - 1
MOR
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 3
MAL
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
ADV
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
TOR
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
AMA
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
CDP
40%
24%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
AMA
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
CHI
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |