Mali vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MLI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
0 - 3
MLI
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
MLI
4 - 1
LBR
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
MLI
1 - 2
TOG
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GUI
2 - 2
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
LBR
0 - 2
CGO
25%
24%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CGO
0 - 0
SEN
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CGO
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GAB
0 - 0
CGO
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
CGO
0 - 2
ANG
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |