Maldives vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
TKM
3 - 1
MDV
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
THA
3 - 0
MDV
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
MDV
3 - 1
BGD
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
MDV
2 - 1
SYC
69%
17%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
MDV
3 - 0
SYC
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
NPL
0 - 2
PLE
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 1
NPL
34%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
PHL
4 - 0
NPL
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
NPL
1 - 1
JOR
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
JOR
9 - 0
NPL
72%
20%
8%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |