Malawi vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1971 |
MWI
6 - 1
LSO
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1971 |
MWI
1 - 2
LSO
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 1971 |
UGA
1 - 0
MWI
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1971 |
MWI
3 - 1
UGA
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1971 |
UGA
3 - 3
MWI
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1974 |
TZA
5 - 3
UGA
57%
19%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
TZA
1 - 0
ZMB
59%
19%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1974 |
TZA
0 - 0
KEN
62%
19%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
TZA
55%
20%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1973 |
TZA
2 - 1
KEN
61%
19%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |