Malawi vs Swaziland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
GUI
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 0
MWI
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
MAR
25%
30%
45%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ZAM
0 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
SWZ
0 - 5
ZIM
15%
26%
59%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
MOZ
1 - 1
SWZ
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MOZ
2 - 0
SWZ
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CPV
3 - 0
SWZ
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
MOZ
2 - 0
SWZ
49%
23%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |