Malawi vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1994 |
MWI
0 - 3
ZAM
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1993 |
MWI
3 - 1
SWZ
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1993 |
MWI
0 - 1
SWZ
58%
25%
16%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1993 |
MWI
1 - 1
SWZ
59%
25%
16%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1993 |
MWI
3 - 1
SWZ
58%
26%
16%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1994 |
MWI
0 - 3
ZAM
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZAM
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
ZAM
4 - 0
SEN
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1993 |
SEN
0 - 0
ZAM
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1993 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |