Malawi vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MWI
2 - 0
COM
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
COM
0 - 2
MWI
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
MWI
3 - 0
BFA
19%
25%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
MWI
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
MWI
0 - 1
SEN
9%
22%
69%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 0
NAM
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 0
CMR
17%
25%
59%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 0
LSO
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 0
NAM
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
ZIM
3 - 1
NAM
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |