Malawi vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 0
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
2 - 0
SYC
82%
14%
4%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ZAM
0 - 1
MWI
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 0
MWI
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MOZ
1 - 1
MWI
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
ANG
4 - 2
LSO
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
LSO
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 2
LSO
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LSO
0 - 1
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
TOG
2 - 0
LSO
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |